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Wally's avatar

Thank you for the great article, it really got me thinking about modern warfare., In the long run history usually favors offence over defense but the current state of drones and precision weapons favor the defense. What we are also seeing if the advantage of mass produced cheap weapons over expensive sophisticated weapons. If a ground support F16 or A10 warthog can be killed with a small drone, the role of combat support aircraft is obsolete.

Maybe its time to re-think why one wants to gain land territory in the first place? Perhaps one wins a war by destroying the enemy's warfighting economy and forget about boots on the ground.

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Jim's avatar

Minefields are inconvenient, but fairly easy to clear with the right engineering asset. if you haven’t ever seen a fuel-air explosive detonated before, you just need a vapourized fuel distributed over a suspected mine field, and an igniter to set it off. The resulting pressure wave will usually take out a high percentage of mines. Of course you have also signalled in a very vivid way exactly where you are going to move, but that’s the risk in a minefield breaching operation.

This is, as Mr. Morgan stated, all part of pulling apart the enemy’s ‘kill web’.

The Ukrainians will most likely not need to go to such lengths: operations will need to move along multiple routes, where the recon elements have identified mines and IEDs intended to stop a column in a kill zone, and will have either disabled or had artillery or drone assets use HE rounds to clear them. We might even see the return of some of Hobart’s ‘Funnies’ to speed things along.

I learned the older defence in depth methods at BIOTC back in the 80’s, and while the extra dimensions seem overwhelming, it makes sense that the fields are stretched almost 100km on each side. The defensive nature is like a WWI trench - no man’s land - trench defences but with artillery that can drop CBMs, drones with mortar rounds, and EW to blind the enemy.

Speed will remain essential in any offensive operations, and while tactical surprise will be very hard to achieve, deception and mis-direction will be stock and trade, right down to the Other Ranks. Having the enemy waste rounds on dummy targets will be more and more important. Ghost units will make it harder to sort through which one to target or know where the real unit is.

I look forward to reading the rest of this stack to see what other veins of gold show up.

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